Keel Infrastructure Corp GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
104.47%
increased by 6.60%
1 Week
104.19%
increased by 6.32%
1 Month
103.63%
increased by 5.76%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:13 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 21, 2021 to Oct 16, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 2.06** |
| αARCH | 0.0635 | 2.40** |
| βGARCH | 0.8181 | 11.61*** |
0.882
Persistence5d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.06** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0635 | 2.40** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8181 | 11.61*** |
Persistence:
0.882
Half-life:
5 days
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