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V-Lab

Duolingo Inc GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

69.52%

decreased by 2.34%

1 Week

68.89%

decreased by 2.97%

1 Month

67.63%

decreased by 4.23%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Duolingo Inc GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 28, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1086
8.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0511
7.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8288
45.88***

Persistence:

0.880

Half-life:

5 days