Keel Infrastructure Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
102.73%
decreased by 4.46%
1 Week
103.07%
decreased by 4.12%
1 Month
104.42%
decreased by 2.77%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 21, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1390 | 10.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1924 | 23.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8167 | 150.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0181 | -1.54 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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