V-Lab
International Business Machines Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
43.05%
decreased by 1.63%
1 Week
42.77%
decreased by 1.91%
1 Month
41.74%
decreased by 2.94%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 58% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0559 | 29.13*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1524 | 44.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7890 | 332.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0889 | 15.50*** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
49 days
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