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V-Lab

International Business Machines Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

43.05%

decreased by 1.63%

1 Week

42.77%

decreased by 1.91%

1 Month

41.74%

decreased by 2.94%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of International Business Machines Corp AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 58% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0559
29.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1524
44.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7890
332.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0889
15.50***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

49 days