V-Lab
McDonald's Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
18.52%
decreased by 0.67%
1 Week
18.73%
decreased by 0.46%
1 Month
19.47%
increased by 0.28%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 11:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 40% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0312 | 6.37*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1258 | 10.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8374 | 92.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0501 | 2.18** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
59 days
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