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V-Lab

McDonald's Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

18.52%

decreased by 0.67%

1 Week

18.73%

decreased by 0.46%

1 Month

19.47%

increased by 0.28%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 11:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of McDonald's Corp AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 40% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0312
6.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1258
10.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8374
92.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0501
2.18**

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

59 days