V-Lab
Jaguar Uranium Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
67.57%
decreased by 3.79%
1 Week
69.19%
decreased by 2.17%
1 Month
74.56%
increased by 3.20%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8139 | 2.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1089 | 4.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7963 | 37.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1491 | 1.84* |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
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