Jaguar Uranium Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
74.39%
decreased by 3.23%
1 Week
79.96%
increased by 2.34%
1 Month
91.74%
increased by 14.12%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 191% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.7670 | 4.18*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1130 | 3.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6925 | 17.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2156 | 2.08** |
Persistence:
0.913
Half-life:
8 days
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