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V-Lab

Jaguar Uranium Corp Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

70.79%

decreased by 6.67%

1 Week

65.79%

decreased by 11.67%

1 Month

55.04%

decreased by 22.42%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Jaguar Uranium Corp APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 10, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 28% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1379
1.37
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2222
10.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7332
30.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2407
4.99***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5000
1.27

Persistence:

0.915

Half-life:

8 days