V-Lab
Rocket One Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
86.77%
decreased by 1.70%
1 Week
86.70%
decreased by 1.77%
1 Month
86.63%
decreased by 1.84%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 18, 2019 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. The volatility power δ = 0.59 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7359 | 9.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4011 | 30.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4039 | 19.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0126 | 0.57 |
δ power Transformation power | 0.5883 | 10.77*** |
Persistence:
0.729
Half-life:
2 days
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