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V-Lab

Rocket One Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

103.39%

increased by 6.79%

1 Week

129.68%

increased by 33.08%

1 Month

173.15%

increased by 76.55%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Rocket One Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 18, 2019 to Jul 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 211% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.7370
13.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3837
10.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-6.03***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.60
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0285
0.67
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8832
4.68***

Persistence:

0.871

Half-life:

5 days