V-Lab
Rocket One Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
103.39%
1 Week
129.68%
1 Month
173.15%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 18, 2019 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 211% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.7370 | 13.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3837 | 10.45*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -6.03*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.60 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0285 | 0.67 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8832 | 4.68*** |
Persistence:
0.871
Half-life:
5 days
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