Skip to main content
V-Lab

Rocket One Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

75.88%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Week

103.09%

increased by 26.67%

1 Month

147.05%

increased by 70.63%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Rocket One Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 18, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 212% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.7359
14.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3846
10.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-6.07***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.59
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0250
0.64
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8836
4.60***

Persistence:

0.870

Half-life:

5 days