V-Lab
Rocket One Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
71.42%
decreased by 1.80%
1 Week
128.82%
increased by 55.60%
1 Month
533.00%
increased by 459.78%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 18, 2019 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.224 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
σ
AGARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 1.224 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 11.5988 | 3.28*** |
| αARCH | 0.9296 | 3.13*** |
| βGARCH | 0.2942 | 2.52** |
| γleverage | -1.5079 | -1.56 |
1.224
Persistence-
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 11.5988 | 3.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.9296 | 3.13*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2942 | 2.52** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -1.5079 | -1.56 |
Persistence:
1.224
Half-life:
-
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