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V-Lab
V-Lab

Alpha Compute Corp AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

105.67%

decreased by 6.64%

1 Week

130.75%

increased by 18.44%

1 Month

175.96%

increased by 63.65%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Alpha Compute Corp AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 2020 to Oct 16, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst15.0000
3.14***
αARCH0.3411
3.18***
βGARCH0.5713
13.27***
γleverage-2.2486
-1.39

0.912

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

15.0000
3.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3411
3.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5713
13.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-2.2486
-1.39

Persistence:

0.912

Half-life:

8 days