V-Lab
Victoria's Secret & Co AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
66.39%
increased by 7.05%
1 Week
65.95%
increased by 6.61%
1 Month
65.70%
increased by 6.36%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 3, 2021 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 6.8861 | 4.44*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1291 | 2.45** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4322 | 6.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 2.1694 | 1.64 |
Persistence:
0.561
Half-life:
1 days
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