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V-Lab

Victoria's Secret & Co APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

87.52%

decreased by 10.59%

1 Week

82.53%

decreased by 15.58%

1 Month

74.13%

decreased by 23.98%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 11:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Victoria's Secret & Co APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2021 to Sep 4, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 306% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.28 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 306% more than positive returnsδ = 1.28 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0000
0.88
αARCH0.1080
1.69*
βGARCH0.7526
6.27***
γleverage0.4972
2.39**
δpower1.2848
2.30**

0.846

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
0.88
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1080
1.69*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7526
6.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4972
2.39**
δ

power

Transformation power

1.2848
2.30**

Persistence:

0.846

Half-life:

4 days