Maxeon Solar Technologies Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026
1 Day
3,561.83%
1 Week
3,561.96%
1 Month
3,562.47%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 09:37 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 27, 2020 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1632920 trading days (~6479.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
APARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0000 | 0.67 |
| αARCH | 0.1148 | 1.89* |
| βGARCH | 0.8815 | 19.83*** |
| γleverage | 0.2874 | 1.32 |
| δpower | 1.8984 | 3.21*** |
1.000
Persistence1632920d
Half-lifeAPARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 0.67 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1148 | 1.89* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8815 | 19.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2874 | 1.32 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.8984 | 3.21*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1632920 days
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