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Maxeon Solar Technologies Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

3,561.83%

decreased by 244.69%

1 Week

3,561.96%

decreased by 244.56%

1 Month

3,562.47%

decreased by 244.05%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 09:37 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Maxeon Solar Technologies Ltd APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 27, 2020 to Oct 9, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1632920 trading days (~6479.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

APARCH Model

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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1632920 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0000
0.67
αARCH0.1148
1.89*
βGARCH0.8815
19.83***
γleverage0.2874
1.32
δpower1.8984
3.21***

1.000

Persistence

1632920d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
0.67
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1148
1.89*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8815
19.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2874
1.32
δ

power

Transformation power

1.8984
3.21***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1632920 days