Skip to main content
V-Lab

Alpha Compute Corp APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

222.45%

decreased by 18.49%

1 Week

225.93%

decreased by 15.01%

1 Month

236.43%

decreased by 4.51%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Alpha Compute Corp APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 2020 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. The volatility power δ = 1.11 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
3.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2276
8.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7724
31.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1087
-1.52
δ

power

Transformation power

1.1105
9.31***

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

15 days