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V-Lab

Victoria's Secret & Co Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

66.19%

decreased by 1.14%

1 Week

66.25%

decreased by 1.08%

1 Month

66.50%

decreased by 0.83%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Victoria's Secret & Co AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 71% more than positive returns

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0159
4.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0472
11.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9360
305.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0336
4.73***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days