QVC Group Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
294.24%
1 Week
294.46%
1 Month
295.33%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 09:27 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 5, 2006 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 37% more than positive returns
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2531 | 15.19*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2848 | 21.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6621 | 74.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1061 | 7.11*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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