V-Lab
Victoria's Secret & Co Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
65.99%
decreased by 0.44%
1 Week
64.25%
decreased by 2.18%
1 Month
58.15%
decreased by 8.28%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 3, 2021 to Aug 14, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 29% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0070 | 7.06*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0553 | 17.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9447 | 301.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2476 | 10.10*** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.5000 | 3.38*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
68 days
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