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V-Lab

Everforth Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

79.78%

decreased by 1.66%

1 Week

75.96%

decreased by 5.48%

1 Month

64.63%

decreased by 16.81%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Everforth Inc APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 22, 1992 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 26% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.02 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0860
19.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1682
61.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8233
261.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1132
16.07***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.0230
25.92***

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days