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General Electric Co Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

29.74%

increased by 1.31%

1 Week

27.70%

decreased by 0.73%

1 Month

22.10%

decreased by 6.33%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:56 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of General Electric Co APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 20% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.64 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 20% more than positive returnsδ = 0.64 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0246
5.69***
αARCH0.1843
18.21***
βGARCH0.8119
80.68***
γleverage0.1385
6.96***
δpower0.6423
3.03***

0.960

Persistence

17d

Half-life
μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0246
5.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1843
18.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8119
80.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1385
6.96***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.6423
3.03***

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days