V-Lab
Pasqal Holding SA Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
488.05%
1 Week
322.03%
1 Month
164.13%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 03:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2026 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. The volatility power δ = 0.75 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.2161 | 1.10 |
| αARCH | 0.9884 | 1.78* |
| βGARCH | 0.0116 | 0.06 |
| γleverage | -0.3608 | -1.43 |
| δpower | 0.7466 | 1.26 |
0.790
Persistence3d
Half-lifeAPMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2161 | 1.10 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.9884 | 1.78* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0116 | 0.06 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3608 | -1.43 |
δ power Transformation power | 0.7466 | 1.26 |
Persistence:
0.790
Half-life:
3 days
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