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Pasqal Holding SA GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

553.99%

decreased by 317.18%

1 Week

537.03%

decreased by 334.14%

1 Month

478.73%

decreased by 392.44%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Pasqal Holding SA GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.01 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run127.9437
0.89
αscore0.2984
10.42***
βpersistence0.9655
27.86***
νDF2.0088
698.97***

0.965

Persistence

20d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

127.9437
0.89
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.2984
10.42***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9655
27.86***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0088
698.97***

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

20 days