V-Lab
Pasqal Holding SA GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
163.02%
increased by 106.07%
1 Week
148.08%
increased by 91.13%
1 Month
107.96%
increased by 51.01%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 04:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2026 to Aug 28, 2026Hessian SE
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.74 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-lifev = 7.74 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.4259 | 0.00 |
| αARCH | 0.6908 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9022 | 0.00 |
| νDF | 7.7381 | 0.00 |
0.902
Persistence7d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4259 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.6908 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9022 | 0.00 |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 7.7381 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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