V-Lab
Pasqal Holding SA GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
473.60%
decreased by 457.99%
1 Week
461.56%
decreased by 470.03%
1 Month
419.73%
decreased by 511.86%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Unreliable tails: v = 2.01 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 142.5615 | 0.78 |
| αARCH | 0.3786 | 26.16*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9692 | 27.47*** |
| νDF | 2.0082 | 667.62*** |
0.969
Persistence22d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 142.5615 | 0.78 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3786 | 26.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9692 | 27.47*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0082 | 667.62*** |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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