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Pasqal Holding SA GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

163.02%

increased by 106.07%

1 Week

148.08%

increased by 91.13%

1 Month

107.96%

increased by 51.01%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 04:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Pasqal Holding SA GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Aug 28, 2026
Hessian SE

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.74 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-lifev = 7.74 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4259
0.00
αARCH0.6908
0.00
βGARCH0.9022
0.00
νDF7.7381
0.00

0.902

Persistence

7d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4259
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.6908
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9022
0.00
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.7381
0.00

Persistence:

0.902

Half-life:

7 days