Pasqal Holding SA GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
553.99%
decreased by 317.18%
1 Week
537.03%
decreased by 334.14%
1 Month
478.73%
decreased by 392.44%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026Extended Optimization
Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Unreliable tails: v = 2.01 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 127.9437 | 0.89 |
| αscore | 0.2984 | 10.42*** |
| βpersistence | 0.9655 | 27.86*** |
| νDF | 2.0088 | 698.97*** |
0.965
Persistence20d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 127.9437 | 0.89 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.2984 | 10.42*** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9655 | 27.86*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0088 | 698.97*** |
Persistence:
0.965
Half-life:
20 days
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