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Pasqal Holding SA GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

473.60%

decreased by 457.99%

1 Week

461.56%

decreased by 470.03%

1 Month

419.73%

decreased by 511.86%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Pasqal Holding SA GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.01 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst142.5615
0.78
αARCH0.3786
26.16***
βGARCH0.9692
27.47***
νDF2.0082
667.62***

0.969

Persistence

22d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

142.5615
0.78
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3786
26.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9692
27.47***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0082
667.62***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days