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V-Lab

Pasqal Holding SA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

45.74%

decreased by 0.51%

1 Week

51.98%

increased by 5.73%

1 Month

56.95%

increased by 10.70%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Pasqal Holding SA MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 319% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 319% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow86
αARCH0.1569
7.43***
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.5000
11.49***
λ₁tau intercept0.2212
3.65***
λ₂forecast adj.0.0562
1.18
λ₃tau persistence0.9438
322.02***

0.407

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

86
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1569
7.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
11.49***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2212
3.65***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0562
1.18
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9438
322.02***

Persistence:

0.407

Half-life:

1 days