V-Lab
Pasqal Holding SA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
743.75%
increased by 641.43%
1 Week
577.43%
increased by 475.11%
1 Month
326.80%
increased by 224.48%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 04:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2026 to Aug 28, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.4890 | 0.04 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | 0.5000 | 0.01 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 29.4102 |
0.739
Persistence2d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4890 | 0.04 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 0.01 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 29.4102 |
Persistence:
0.739
Half-life:
2 days
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