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Pasqal Holding SA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

743.75%

increased by 641.43%

1 Week

577.43%

increased by 475.11%

1 Month

326.80%

increased by 224.48%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 04:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Pasqal Holding SA MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Aug 28, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
αARCH0.4890
0.04
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.5000
0.01
λ₁tau intercept29.4102

0.739

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4890
0.04
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
0.01
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

29.4102

Persistence:

0.739

Half-life:

2 days