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Pasqal Holding SA GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

689.84%

increased by 578.56%

1 Week

689.96%

increased by 578.68%

1 Month

690.46%

increased by 579.18%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 03:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Pasqal Holding SA GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Aug 28, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3403
0.57
αARCH0.4212
0.24
βGARCH0.0788
0.07
γleverage1.0000
0.04

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3403
0.57
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4212
0.24
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0788
0.07
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.0000
0.04

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-