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Johnson & Johnson GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

21.09%

increased by 0.27%

1 Week

21.17%

increased by 0.35%

1 Month

21.49%

increased by 0.67%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Johnson & Johnson GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 69 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 175% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.990, shock half-life ~69 daysLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 175% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0248
4.95***
αARCH0.0423
4.72***
βGARCH0.9108
119.01***
γleverage0.0739
3.23***

0.990

Persistence

69d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0248
4.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0423
4.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9108
119.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0739
3.23***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

69 days