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V-Lab

Johnson & Johnson GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

26.92%

decreased by 0.78%

1 Week

26.89%

decreased by 0.81%

1 Month

26.77%

decreased by 0.93%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Johnson & Johnson GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 70 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 176% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0248
19.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0424
18.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9104
472.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0746
13.03***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

70 days