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V-Lab

Home Depot Inc/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

26.39%

decreased by 0.48%

1 Week

26.57%

decreased by 0.30%

1 Month

27.24%

increased by 0.37%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Home Depot Inc/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 125 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 374% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0340
14.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0228
15.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9291
509.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0852
19.63***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

125 days