Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Home Depot Inc/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

26.98%

increased by 2.43%

1 Week

27.14%

increased by 2.59%

1 Month

27.76%

increased by 3.21%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 11:20 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Home Depot Inc/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 125 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 362% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~125 daysLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 362% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0334
3.67***
αARCH0.0230
3.81***
βGARCH0.9299
128.84***
γleverage0.0832
4.85***

0.994

Persistence

125d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0334
3.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0230
3.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9299
128.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0832
4.85***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

125 days