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V-Lab

Home Depot Inc/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

28.62%

decreased by 0.73%

1 Week

28.76%

decreased by 0.59%

1 Month

29.29%

decreased by 0.06%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Home Depot Inc/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 125 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 373% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0341
14.65***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0229
15.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9289
509.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0853
19.65***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

125 days