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V-Lab

Home Depot Inc/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

27.15%

decreased by 0.64%

1 Week

27.31%

decreased by 0.48%

1 Month

27.95%

increased by 0.16%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Home Depot Inc/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 124 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 371% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0345
14.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0232
15.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9282
504.73***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0861
19.66***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

124 days