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V-Lab

Home Depot Inc/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

28.70%

decreased by 1.13%

1 Week

28.74%

decreased by 1.09%

1 Month

28.99%

decreased by 0.84%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Home Depot Inc/The MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0120
6.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8412
156.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1343
31.13***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0239
2.86***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0673
3.87***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9257
46.63***

Persistence:

0.920

Half-life:

8 days