V-Lab
Home Depot Inc/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
27.33%
decreased by 1.08%
1 Week
27.66%
decreased by 0.75%
1 Month
28.70%
increased by 0.29%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0121 | 6.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8412 | 156.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1336 | 31.08*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0240 | 2.84*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0675 | 3.85*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9254 | 46.22*** |
Persistence:
0.920
Half-life:
8 days
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