V-Lab
Home Depot Inc/The MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
25.74%
decreased by 0.72%
1 Week
26.26%
decreased by 0.20%
1 Month
27.74%
increased by 1.28%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0125 | 7.24*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8431 | 159.98*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1336 | 31.05*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0231 | 2.96*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0651 | 3.99*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9281 | 49.87*** |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
9 days
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