V-Lab
Onity Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
46.48%
increased by 0.20%
1 Week
48.91%
increased by 2.63%
1 Month
51.82%
increased by 5.54%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 125% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0751 | 13.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6504 | 23.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0938 | 9.87*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.4424 | 0.62 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1603 | 0.82 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8111 | 3.25*** |
Persistence:
0.772
Half-life:
3 days
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