V-Lab
Onity Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
56.69%
decreased by 2.96%
1 Week
57.95%
decreased by 1.70%
1 Month
55.57%
decreased by 4.08%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 25, 1996 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 117% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0768 | 13.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6365 | 20.64*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0899 | 9.17*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.5508 | 0.52 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2043 | 0.65 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7614 | 1.95* |
Persistence:
0.758
Half-life:
3 days
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