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V-Lab

Onity Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

41.25%

decreased by 0.06%

1 Week

44.56%

increased by 3.25%

1 Month

47.99%

increased by 6.68%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Onity Group Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 1996 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 123% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 123% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow66
αARCH0.0754
3.33***
βGARCH0.6495
10.96***
γleverage0.0931
2.59***
λ₁tau intercept0.4531
1.40
λ₂forecast adj.0.1639
1.75*
λ₃tau persistence0.8066
7.20***

0.772

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0754
3.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6495
10.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0931
2.59***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.4531
1.40
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1639
1.75*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8066
7.20***

Persistence:

0.772

Half-life:

3 days