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V-Lab

Onity Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

56.69%

decreased by 2.96%

1 Week

57.95%

decreased by 1.70%

1 Month

55.57%

decreased by 4.08%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Onity Group Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 1996 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 117% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0768
13.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6365
20.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0899
9.17***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.5508
0.52
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2043
0.65
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7614
1.95*

Persistence:

0.758

Half-life:

3 days