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V-Lab

BOYD GROUP SERVICES INC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

17.06%

decreased by 0.73%

1 Week

432.65%

increased by 414.86%

1 Month

1,648,617,238.78%

increased by 1,648,617,220.99%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of BOYD GROUP SERVICES INC MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 30, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

86
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.91
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9206
190.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1588
19.40***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.33
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
1.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0616
31.22***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-