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V-Lab

RTX Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

25.92%

decreased by 0.74%

1 Week

26.27%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Month

27.37%

increased by 0.71%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:31 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RTX Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow61
αARCH0.0060
0.95
βGARCH0.8996
90.46***
γleverage0.1242
8.99***
λ₁tau intercept0.0052
1.31
λ₂forecast adj.0.0108
2.25**
λ₃tau persistence0.9874
168.85***

0.968

Persistence

21d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0060
0.95
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8996
90.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1242
8.99***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0052
1.31
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0108
2.25**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9874
168.85***

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days