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V-Lab

RTX Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

21.03%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Week

21.76%

increased by 0.36%

1 Month

24.13%

increased by 2.73%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 11:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RTX Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0059
3.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8995
315.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1249
36.09***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0052
5.30***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0108
5.34***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9874
403.02***

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days