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V-Lab

RTX Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

23.93%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Week

24.39%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Month

26.00%

increased by 1.53%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RTX Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0061
3.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8994
314.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1246
35.81***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0052
5.29***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0109
5.35***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9873
401.69***

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days