V-Lab
RTX Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
21.03%
decreased by 0.37%
1 Week
21.76%
increased by 0.36%
1 Month
24.13%
increased by 2.73%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 11:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0059 | 3.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8995 | 315.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1249 | 36.09*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0052 | 5.30*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0108 | 5.34*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9874 | 403.02*** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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