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V-Lab

QTREX Quantum Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

104.49%

decreased by 1.46%

1 Week

129.53%

increased by 23.58%

1 Month

169.07%

increased by 63.12%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of QTREX Quantum Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0555
4.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4771
13.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2638
6.90***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.67
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5681
0.91
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1689
0.16

Persistence:

0.665

Half-life:

2 days