V-Lab
QTREX Quantum Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
141.75%
decreased by 39.08%
1 Week
161.51%
decreased by 19.32%
1 Month
201.42%
increased by 20.59%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 14, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0555 | 4.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4723 | 13.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2681 | 6.96*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.64 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6066 | 0.89 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1397 | 0.12 |
Persistence:
0.662
Half-life:
2 days
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