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V-Lab

QTREX Quantum Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

227.81%

decreased by 85.75%

1 Week

230.42%

decreased by 83.14%

1 Month

233.22%

decreased by 80.34%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of QTREX Quantum Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 353% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0758
5.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4296
12.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2673
6.51***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.68
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5966
0.93
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1568
0.15

Persistence:

0.639

Half-life:

2 days