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V-Lab

QTREX Quantum Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

141.75%

decreased by 39.08%

1 Week

161.51%

decreased by 19.32%

1 Month

201.42%

increased by 20.59%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of QTREX Quantum Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0555
4.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4723
13.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2681
6.96***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.64
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6066
0.89
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1397
0.12

Persistence:

0.662

Half-life:

2 days