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V-Lab

QTREX Quantum Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

169.46%

decreased by 0.77%

1 Week

200.13%

increased by 29.90%

1 Month

210.71%

increased by 40.48%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of QTREX Quantum Ltd SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5255
1.94*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3530
2.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0583
0.77
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-17.7387
-1.87*
γ226.0477
1.96**
γ3-13.2271
-2.43**
γ46.2367
1.81*
γ51.7931
0.41
γ6-9.2749
-2.26**
γ715.0589
3.58***
γ8-17.6383
-4.27***
γ916.1059
4.21***
γ10-9.4884
-1.82*

Persistence:

0.411

Half-life:

1 days