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V-Lab

QTREX Quantum Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

148.88%

decreased by 13.24%

1 Week

173.73%

increased by 11.61%

1 Month

182.21%

increased by 20.09%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of QTREX Quantum Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5335
1.98**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3361
2.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0670
0.79
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-17.2553
-1.80*
γ225.0639
1.87*
γ3-12.1231
-2.30**
γ44.8960
1.35
γ53.3578
0.71
γ6-10.8290
-2.50**
γ716.2468
3.82***
γ8-18.3276
-4.58***
γ916.8090
5.16***
γ10-11.7756
-4.78***

Persistence:

0.403

Half-life:

1 days