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V-Lab

QTREX Quantum Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

369.66%

increased by 168.63%

1 Week

265.19%

increased by 64.16%

1 Month

208.32%

increased by 7.29%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:58 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of QTREX Quantum Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2021 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6099
2.37**
αARCH0.4034
2.56**
βGARCH0.0321
0.63
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-12.4437
-1.76*
γ218.9598
1.71*
γ3-12.1262
-1.79*
γ411.4865
2.59***
γ5-11.5695
-3.55***
γ612.0217
4.04***
γ7-11.8434
-4.12***
γ810.3622
4.53***
γ9-7.3321
-5.10***

0.435

Persistence

1d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6099
2.37**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4034
2.56**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0321
0.63
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-12.4437
-1.76*
γ218.9598
1.71*
γ3-12.1262
-1.79*
γ411.4865
2.59***
γ5-11.5695
-3.55***
γ612.0217
4.04***
γ7-11.8434
-4.12***
γ810.3622
4.53***
γ9-7.3321
-5.10***

Persistence:

0.435

Half-life:

1 days