V-Lab
Brand Engagement Network Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
123.25%
decreased by 7.10%
1 Week
138.82%
increased by 8.47%
1 Month
182.69%
increased by 52.34%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 17, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 2, 2021 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 31 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3467 | 1.19 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2294 | 2.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7482 | 11.03*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | 4.9364 | 1.12 |
| γ2 | -6.0259 | -0.72 |
| γ3 | 9.2312 | 1.12 |
| γ4 | -15.2913 | -1.65* |
| γ5 | 16.2548 | 1.88* |
| γ6 | -17.2994 | -2.40** |
| γ7 | 7.7137 | 0.75 |
| γ8 | 2.2687 | 0.23 |
| γ9 | -2.6016 | -0.50 |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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