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V-Lab
V-Lab

Rocket One Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

168.37%

decreased by 75.02%

1 Week

191.32%

decreased by 52.07%

1 Month

250.11%

increased by 6.72%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Rocket One Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 18, 2019 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 18 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.1084
1.07
αARCH0.5743
3.63***
βGARCH0.3883
3.32***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.8443
-0.52
γ22.2282
0.37
γ3-0.5219
-0.11
γ40.9420
0.28
γ5-0.8252
-0.37
γ6-2.2743
-0.85
γ76.5752
1.97**
γ8-8.8239
-2.29**
γ97.6432
2.09**
γ10-4.1263
-1.70*

0.963

Persistence

18d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1084
1.07
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5743
3.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3883
3.32***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.8443
-0.52
γ22.2282
0.37
γ3-0.5219
-0.11
γ40.9420
0.28
γ5-0.8252
-0.37
γ6-2.2743
-0.85
γ76.5752
1.97**
γ8-8.8239
-2.29**
γ97.6432
2.09**
γ10-4.1263
-1.70*

Persistence:

0.963

Half-life:

18 days