Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Rocket One Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

84.13%

increased by 16.12%

1 Week

87.13%

increased by 19.12%

1 Month

95.81%

increased by 27.80%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Rocket One Inc SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 18, 2019 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 17 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.0309
1.10
αARCH0.5639
3.62***
βGARCH0.3962
3.55***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.8701
-0.56
γ22.2762
0.40
γ3-0.5145
-0.11
γ40.8931
0.26
γ5-0.9315
-0.41
γ6-1.9736
-0.80
γ76.4942
2.09**
γ8-9.7630
-2.59***
γ910.6961
2.39**
γ10-12.5859
-2.17**

0.960

Persistence

17d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.0309
1.10
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5639
3.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3962
3.55***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.8701
-0.56
γ22.2762
0.40
γ3-0.5145
-0.11
γ40.8931
0.26
γ5-0.9315
-0.41
γ6-1.9736
-0.80
γ76.4942
2.09**
γ8-9.7630
-2.59***
γ910.6961
2.39**
γ10-12.5859
-2.17**

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days