V-Lab
ZJK Industrial Co Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
127.22%
increased by 34.32%
1 Week
112.29%
increased by 19.39%
1 Month
107.08%
increased by 14.18%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1839 | 2.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2004 | 1.47 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1264 | 0.63 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 1.1665 | 2.45** |
Persistence:
0.327
Half-life:
1 days
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