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V-Lab

ZJK Industrial Co Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

83.69%

decreased by 6.87%

1 Week

88.60%

decreased by 1.96%

1 Month

102.15%

increased by 11.59%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of ZJK Industrial Co Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.44 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

69.3441
3.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1074
15.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9578
88.17***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.4444
7.37***

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days