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Osisko Gold Group Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

46.55%

increased by 0.07%

1 Week

49.41%

increased by 2.93%

1 Month

55.31%

increased by 8.83%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 02:05 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Osisko Gold Group Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 2022 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.66 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-lifev = 4.66 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst14.9304
1.32
αARCH0.0757
1.26
βGARCH0.9055
11.86***
νDF4.6596
0.44

0.905

Persistence

7d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

14.9304
1.32
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0757
1.26
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9055
11.86***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.6596
0.44

Persistence:

0.905

Half-life:

7 days