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Osisko Gold Group Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

53.59%

increased by 0.13%

1 Week

54.41%

increased by 0.95%

1 Month

56.75%

increased by 3.29%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 10:30 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Osisko Gold Group Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 2022 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.42 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 13-day half-lifev = 5.42 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run15.5246
1.25
αscore0.0655
1.65*
βpersistence0.9495
24.30***
νDF5.4219
0.44

0.950

Persistence

13d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

15.5246
1.25
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0655
1.65*
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9495
24.30***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.4219
0.44

Persistence:

0.950

Half-life:

13 days