Osisko Gold Group Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026
1 Day
53.59%
increased by 0.13%
1 Week
54.41%
increased by 0.95%
1 Month
56.75%
increased by 3.29%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 10:30 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 30, 2022 to Oct 30, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.42 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 13-day half-lifev = 5.42 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 15.5246 | 1.25 |
| αscore | 0.0655 | 1.65* |
| βpersistence | 0.9495 | 24.30*** |
| νDF | 5.4219 | 0.44 |
0.950
Persistence13d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 15.5246 | 1.25 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.0655 | 1.65* |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9495 | 24.30*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 5.4219 | 0.44 |
Persistence:
0.950
Half-life:
13 days
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