Osisko Gold Group Inc GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
54.81%
decreased by 0.62%
1 Week
55.84%
increased by 0.41%
1 Month
58.52%
increased by 3.09%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 11:28 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 30, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9891 | 1.46 |
| αARCH | 0.0707 | 2.34** |
| βGARCH | 0.8664 | 12.80*** |
0.937
Persistence11d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9891 | 1.46 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0707 | 2.34** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8664 | 12.80*** |
Persistence:
0.937
Half-life:
11 days
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