V-Lab
Netflix Inc GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
41.97%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Week
42.10%
increased by 0.09%
1 Month
42.61%
increased by 0.60%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 24, 2002 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 120 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0627 | 6.06*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0114 | 13.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9829 | 654.82*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
120 days
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