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V-Lab

Netflix Inc GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

41.97%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Week

42.10%

increased by 0.09%

1 Month

42.61%

increased by 0.60%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Netflix Inc GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 24, 2002 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 120 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0627
6.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0114
13.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9829
654.82***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

120 days