V-Lab
Micron Technology Inc GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
93.74%
decreased by 1.71%
1 Week
93.37%
decreased by 2.08%
1 Month
91.95%
decreased by 3.50%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 107 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0880 | 12.73*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0368 | 33.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9567 | 808.74*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
107 days
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