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V-Lab

Micron Technology Inc GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

93.74%

decreased by 1.71%

1 Week

93.37%

decreased by 2.08%

1 Month

91.95%

decreased by 3.50%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Micron Technology Inc GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 107 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0880
12.73***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0368
33.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9567
808.74***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

107 days