V-Lab
Micron Technology Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
101.25%
decreased by 2.43%
1 Week
100.74%
decreased by 2.94%
1 Month
98.84%
decreased by 4.84%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 293% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0161 | 9.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9272 | 183.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0471 | 13.70*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0339 | 5.40*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0184 | 2.96*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9791 | 147.94*** |
Persistence:
0.967
Half-life:
21 days
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