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V-Lab

Micron Technology Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

70.85%

decreased by 0.76%

1 Week

71.37%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Month

72.65%

increased by 1.04%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Micron Technology Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 260% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 260% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow71
αARCH0.0176
2.66***
βGARCH0.9248
80.11***
γleverage0.0456
4.98***
λ₁tau intercept0.0334
1.39
λ₂forecast adj.0.0173
2.52**
λ₃tau persistence0.9801
123.96***

0.965

Persistence

20d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0176
2.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9248
80.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0456
4.98***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0334
1.39
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0173
2.52**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9801
123.96***

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

20 days