V-Lab
Micron Technology Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
84.35%
decreased by 1.64%
1 Week
84.36%
decreased by 1.63%
1 Month
84.24%
decreased by 1.75%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 273% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0168 | 10.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9254 | 176.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0460 | 13.52*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0338 | 5.25*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0181 | 2.98*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9794 | 152.06*** |
Persistence:
0.965
Half-life:
20 days
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