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V-Lab

Micron Technology Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

101.25%

decreased by 2.43%

1 Week

100.74%

decreased by 2.94%

1 Month

98.84%

decreased by 4.84%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Micron Technology Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 293% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0161
9.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9272
183.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0471
13.70***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0339
5.40***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0184
2.96***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9791
147.94***

Persistence:

0.967

Half-life:

21 days