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V-Lab

Micron Technology Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

68.77%

increased by 3.95%

1 Week

68.93%

increased by 4.11%

1 Month

69.11%

increased by 4.29%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Micron Technology Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 247% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 247% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow71
αARCH0.0183
2.78***
βGARCH0.9249
80.65***
γleverage0.0452
4.93***
λ₁tau intercept0.0328
1.39
λ₂forecast adj.0.0165
2.51**
λ₃tau persistence0.9810
128.74***

0.966

Persistence

20d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0183
2.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9249
80.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0452
4.93***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0328
1.39
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0165
2.51**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9810
128.74***

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days