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V-Lab

Micron Technology Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

84.35%

decreased by 1.64%

1 Week

84.36%

decreased by 1.63%

1 Month

84.24%

decreased by 1.75%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Micron Technology Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 273% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0168
10.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9254
176.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0460
13.52***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0338
5.25***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0181
2.98***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9794
152.06***

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

20 days