Micron Technology Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
68.77%
increased by 3.95%
1 Week
68.93%
increased by 4.11%
1 Month
69.11%
increased by 4.29%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 247% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 247% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 71 | |
| αARCH | 0.0183 | 2.78*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9249 | 80.65*** |
| γleverage | 0.0452 | 4.93*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0328 | 1.39 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0165 | 2.51** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9810 | 128.74*** |
0.966
Persistence20d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0183 | 2.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9249 | 80.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0452 | 4.93*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0328 | 1.39 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0165 | 2.51** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9810 | 128.74*** |
Persistence:
0.966
Half-life:
20 days
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