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V-Lab

Niki BioSolutions Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

106.83%

decreased by 13.40%

1 Week

126.05%

increased by 5.82%

1 Month

140.33%

increased by 20.10%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Niki BioSolutions Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4058
7.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2865
9.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1029
-1.36
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.58
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0367
0.50
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8413
3.34***

Persistence:

0.641

Half-life:

2 days