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V-Lab

Niki BioSolutions Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

118.28%

decreased by 2.97%

1 Week

156.86%

increased by 35.61%

1 Month

236.59%

increased by 115.34%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Niki BioSolutions Inc SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2018 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 14 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3210
1.28
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5183
4.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4343
7.76***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ110.7758
1.74*
γ2-16.1743
-1.59
γ34.6973
0.75
γ43.4120
1.00
γ5-4.7508
-1.79*
γ64.1280
1.22
γ7-4.4439
-1.25
γ85.1663
1.72*
γ9-7.0456
-2.07**
γ109.0859
2.48**

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

14 days