Skip to main content
V-Lab

Global Mofy AI Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

595.46%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Week

693.00%

increased by 97.18%

1 Month

731.40%

increased by 135.58%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Global Mofy AI Ltd SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 10, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2012
2.32**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3027
2.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1613
0.85
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ110.9058
0.35
γ2-43.4609
-0.94
γ377.3719
2.97***
γ4-75.6132
-4.32***
γ538.5457
2.81***
γ6-9.0270
-0.86
γ711.4758
0.92
γ8-15.2206
-0.86
γ929.3665
1.20

Persistence:

0.464

Half-life:

1 days