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V-Lab

Global Mofy AI Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

254.20%

decreased by 1.46%

1 Week

297.55%

increased by 41.89%

1 Month

317.27%

increased by 61.61%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Global Mofy AI Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 10, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1432
2.42**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2985
2.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2242
1.23
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ16.0701
0.21
γ2-34.6179
-0.79
γ370.5828
2.79***
γ4-72.7886
-4.22***
γ538.8953
2.64***
γ6-6.0665
-0.53
γ71.3612
0.14
γ83.5069
0.31
γ9-16.0684
-1.53

Persistence:

0.523

Half-life:

1 days