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V-Lab

Global Mofy AI Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

240.42%

decreased by 2.90%

1 Week

282.05%

increased by 38.73%

1 Month

302.20%

increased by 58.88%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Global Mofy AI Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 10, 2023 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1274
2.47**
αARCH0.3073
3.03***
βGARCH0.2389
1.50
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ14.0247
0.15
γ2-30.7858
-0.73
γ367.6045
2.73***
γ4-71.9140
-4.24***
γ540.3111
2.67***
γ6-7.5879
-0.61
γ72.6034
0.28
γ80.0857
0.01
γ9-11.8469
-1.36

0.546

Persistence

1d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1274
2.47**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3073
3.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2389
1.50
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ14.0247
0.15
γ2-30.7858
-0.73
γ367.6045
2.73***
γ4-71.9140
-4.24***
γ540.3111
2.67***
γ6-7.5879
-0.61
γ72.6034
0.28
γ80.0857
0.01
γ9-11.8469
-1.36

Persistence:

0.546

Half-life:

1 days