V-Lab
Global Mofy AI Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
238.00%
decreased by 43.05%
1 Week
235.86%
decreased by 45.19%
1 Month
228.71%
decreased by 52.34%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 10, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 94% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 6.33*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2106 | 10.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6591 | 34.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1977 | 3.77*** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
22 days
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