V-Lab
Global Mofy AI Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
144.58%
increased by 27.49%
1 Week
150.14%
increased by 33.05%
1 Month
168.21%
increased by 51.12%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 10, 2023 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.66* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2317 | 2.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6194 | 8.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2573 | 1.08 |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
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