V-Lab
Global Mofy AI Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
344.02%
decreased by 0.85%
1 Week
583.58%
increased by 238.71%
1 Month
1,460.06%
increased by 1,115.19%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 10, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 358% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0498 | 3.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2842 | 3.67*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1782 | 3.29*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.5068 | 0.51 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 1.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.423
Half-life:
1 days
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