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V-Lab

Global Mofy AI Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

124.81%

decreased by 2.80%

1 Week

154.13%

increased by 26.52%

1 Month

360.73%

increased by 233.12%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Global Mofy AI Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 10, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9088
208.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1303
14.91***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.74
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8631
1.03
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days