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V-Lab

Global Mofy AI Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

344.02%

decreased by 0.85%

1 Week

583.58%

increased by 238.71%

1 Month

1,460.06%

increased by 1,115.19%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Global Mofy AI Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 10, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 358% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0498
3.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2842
3.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1782
3.29***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

9.5068
0.51
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
1.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.423

Half-life:

1 days