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V-Lab

Global Mofy AI Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

340.91%

decreased by 10.22%

1 Week

341.37%

decreased by 9.76%

1 Month

343.20%

decreased by 7.93%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Global Mofy AI Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 10, 2023 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6222
2.29**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0491
3.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9391
68.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0235
1.13

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days